Movie Talk is putting its reputation on the line and making a few brilliantly inspired predictions about who is going to be walking out of the British Academy Film Awards on Sunday night with a great big smile on their face. And who will be left in their seat with a great big cheesy fake smile on their face… Will we be singing along with the troopers from Les Mis or will the Skyfall in on us? Give us your verdict in the comments…
Lincoln looks set to sweep the board at the Oscars, but Steven Spielberg’s historical epic might not find such favour with Bafta voters, who may be tempted to reward one of two crowd-pleasers – Tom Hooper’s barnstorming musical Les Misérables and, the likely winner, Ben Affleck’s terrific thriller Argo.
Outstanding British Film
The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel charmed viewers, Bond movie Skyfall made British box-office history and Anna Karenina’s period sumptuousness dazzled some, but the most likely winner is Tom Hooper’s go-for-broke adaptation of the world’s longest-running stage musical, Les Misérables,.
Verdict: Les Misérables
Ben Affleck’s best director rivals – Kathryn Bigelow (Zero Dark Thirty), Michael Haneke (Amour), Ang Lee (Life of Pi) and Quentin Tarantino (Django Unchained) – are cinematic titans, but the actor turned director will probably pip them all for Argo’s engaging mix of humour and suspense.
Verdict: Ben Affleck
Hugh Jackman would be a popular winner for his full-throated performance as fugitive ex-convict Jean Valjean in Les Misérables, but I can’t see him stopping Daniel Day-Lewis from picking up his fourth Bafta award for his commanding role as President Abraham Lincoln in Steven Spielberg’s epic biopic.
Verdict: Daniel Day-Lewis
A Bafta nominee in 1960, 85-year-old Emmanuelle Riva would be a worthy winner for Amour, as would fellow French actresses Marion Cotillard for Rust and Bone. They’ll probably miss out, as will Helen Mirren, delightful but miscast as Hitchcock’s wife, making this a battle between Zero Dark Thirty’s Jessica Chastain and, my choice, Silver Linings Playbook star Jennifer Lawrence.
Verdict: Jennifer Lawrence
Best Actor in a Supporting Role
Philip Seymour Hoffman’s mesmerising performance as a charismatic cult leader in The Master and Tommy Lee Jones’s winningly grouchy turn in Lincoln are in with a shout, but Christoph Waltz, a Bafta winner in 2010 for Inglourious Basterds, will probably win for his role as Django Unchained’s German bounty hunter.
Verdict: Christoph Waltz
Best Actress in a Supporting Role
In any other year, Judi Dench would probably add to her collection of Baftas (9 to date) for her role as Bond spy boss M in Skyfall, but Anne Hathaway’s tremulous rendition of Les Mis showstopper ‘I Dreamed a Dream’ will bag her the award.
Verdict: Anne Hathaway
Orange Rising Star
As ever, this is the most open category – and I usually get it wrong. Anna Karenina co-star Alicia Vikander won a rising star award in her native Sweden in 2010, but if it was down to me then the Olsen twins’ talented younger sister, Elizabeth Olsen, brilliant in Martha Marcy May Marlene and Liberal Arts, would carry off the public vote ahead of home-grown star Juno Temple, despite the latter’s no-holds-barred turn in Killer Joe.
Verdict: Elizabeth Olsen
The British Academy Film Awards is showing on Sunday 10th February on BBC1 at 9pm.